GEOLOGY

EARTH SCIENCE

CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE

Question [CLICK ON ANY CHOICE TO KNOW THE RIGHT ANSWER]
A scientist uses a computer model to predict that Earth’s average temperature will increase between 1.8 degrees C and 3.2 degrees C by the year 2100. The precise increase in temperature depends on people’s decisions in the future. Which event of the near future would increase the likelihood of the LOWEST possible temperature increase?
A
Global emissions of greenhouse gases increase by 37 percent.
B
Global emissions of greenhouse gases increase by 50 percent.
C
Global emissions of greenhouse gases decrease by 37 percent.
D
Global emissions of greenhouse gases decrease by 50 percent.
Explanation: 

Detailed explanation-1: -Dropping the 1.5C limit for a higher one would dramatically increase the risks of food and water shortages, conflict, deadly extreme weather and other crises, Rockström and other scientists have said, and likely push the world past dangerous tipping points from which there is no possibility of return.

Detailed explanation-2: -If we reduce CO2 amounts to stop increasing after 2050, global average temperature will increase from 1-1.5°C, and this is considered a best case scenario (blue line in graph). If we don’t reduce CO2 and the amounts continue to increase, the worst case scenario warming will be 4.5-5°C (red line in graph).

Detailed explanation-3: -Results from a wide range of climate model simulations suggest that our planet’s average temperature could be between 2 and 9.7°F (1.1 to 5.4°C) warmer in 2100 than it is today. The main reason for this temperature increase is carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping “greenhouse” gases that human activities produce.

Detailed explanation-4: -Since 1880, average global temperatures have increased by about 1 degrees Celsius (1.7° degrees Fahrenheit). Global temperature is projected to warm by about 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7° degrees Fahrenheit) by 2050 and 2-4 degrees Celsius (3.6-7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100.

There is 1 question to complete.