EARTH SCIENCE
NATURAL HAZARDS
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Question
[CLICK ON ANY CHOICE TO KNOW THE RIGHT ANSWER]
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Models should never be used to predict things.
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Models cannot account for how every factor may suddenly change.
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Models can be used to predict geologic hazards, not weather and climate hazards.
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Models are only useful after an event occurs.
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Detailed explanation-1: -Meteorologists use computer programs called weather models to make forecasts. Since we can’t collect data from the future, models have to use estimates and assumptions to predict future weather. The atmosphere is changing all the time, so those estimates are less reliable the further you get into the future.
Detailed explanation-2: -Errors in Numerical Forecasts There are two main reasons for this. First, the equations used by the models to simulate the atmosphere are not precise. Many processes in the atmosphere are either not fully understood or too complex to model with current computing power. Secondly, the initial conditions are not exact.
Detailed explanation-3: -Well, their ability to predict the weather is limited by three factors: the amount of available data; the time available to analyze it; and. the complexity of weather events.