RESEARCH METHODS THINKING CRITICALLY WITH PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE
THE NEED FOR PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE
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Question
[CLICK ON ANY CHOICE TO KNOW THE RIGHT ANSWER]
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Armend is certain that electric cars will represent 80 percent of vehicles in 20 years and only reads research studies that support his hypothesis.
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Liza underestimates how much time it will take her to finish writing her college application essays and as a result fails to meet an important deadline.
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Experts predicting world events with 80 percent confidence turned out to be correct less than 40 percent of the time.
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Alliyah, after reading a definition on one of her flashcards, turns the card over to see the term and then tells herself she knew what the answers was all along.
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Dr. grace overestimates how effectively her new treatment method works because she fails to seek out any evidence refuting her theory.
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Detailed explanation-1: -Examples of the hindsight bias include a person believing they predicted who would win an election or sporting event. Students might assume that they could predict the questions and answers on exams, which can affect how much effort they devote to studying.
Detailed explanation-2: -Which scenario BEST illustrates hindsight bias? You predicted you would earn 80 percent on your test but you only earned 70 percent.
Detailed explanation-3: -Which of the following is the best definition of the hindsight bias? The tendency to think that we could have predicted things that we probably would not have been able to predict.
Detailed explanation-4: -The correct answer is D. (Marcy cannot recognize a definition on a flashcard. After turning the card over and viewing the term, she tells herself she knew what the answer was all along).